Wednesday, January 13, 2010

2010 Robotics Predications; Reality Check for 2009

Trick math question: If you have $100 and lose 50% and then gain back 50% of that, how much do you have?
  1. $100
  2. $50
  3. $75
  4. None of the above.
Stock markets around the world rose dramatically in 2009. Robotic stocks did as well or better than the major tracking indexes, particularly service robotic stocks. But the real story isn't the gains of 2009 but the lack of recovery from 2007.

An example: U.S. publicly-traded industrial robotic companies saw their stocks rise 40% in 2009. But those same stocks lost 53% in 2008. Thus their year-to-date rise in 2009 of 40% really only recovered 16 points of the 53 lost the year before. U.S. industrial robotic stocks are still down 37% from their close at the end of 2007 as are almost all robotic stocks worldwide. That is what these Robo-Stox™ charts - one for industrial robotic companies and another for service companies - attempt to show. Click to enlarge.

Most countries' robotics stocks didn't fare as well as the American NASDAQ Index with the exception of Canada, India, Israel, Taiwan and a very few individual stocks. Thus although 2009 was a significant up year for stocks, and robotic stocks in particular, robotic stocks have yet to recover their highs of 2007 and have a long way to go to do so.

The serious effect of the recent worldwide stock market and economic crash causing the drop in market value of the companies, the loss of jobs, orders, revenue and profits - is a long way from recovery. Although jobs in the robotics sector are available for qualified takers, particularly in the service sector, unemployment in general is dramatically high and most economists are predicting that it will be well into 2012 before any real gains occur.

That is not to say that all is pessimistic, particularly for robotic businesses. 2010 looks to be a good year with definite "drivers" effecting selected marketplaces.

Worldwide military, police and security agencies are continuing to purchase and invest in R&D for all types of unmanned, remote-operated aerial, underwater and ground robotic devices. More jobs - with the likelihood of continued growth over the next few years.

Medical robotics (included in the services sector) are poised for many years of rapid growth propelled by:
  1. Growing patient demand for non-invasive surgery,
  2. The current effort to reduce hospital costs by increasing productivity through a variety of robotic activities (non-invasive surgery, pill dispensing, materials transfer, lab assistance, etc.),
  3. Hospitals, which have held back capital purchases (such as Intuitive Surgical's million dollar da Vinci devices) for the past two years, are beginning to reinvest in these types of equipment.

With the return of small amounts of discretionary income back into the economy, consumers are once again interested in robotic toys and kits as can be seen by 2009's Christmas rush to buy millions of robotic hamsters (Zhu Zhu) and thousands robotic penguins.  And the hit of CES was an indoor-flying, iPhone-controlled, quad copter by Parrot that will sell for $129.


For industrial robot manufacturers, orders will stay down for quite a while. For those vendors that have switched or are making inroads into the services sector, the horrendous spate of bankruptcies (photo: used robots for sale from closed Chrysler plant) and buy-outs has stopped and the future is looking brighter expecially in new markets including the SME market.

Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) are now being offered affordable robotic products that haven't been available to them before, first in Europe and Asia, and later in the U.S. Lightweight and easily trainable, these flexible robots are enabling these smaller manufacturers to increase productivity and not have to go off-shore to produce their products.

28 comments:

皮東 said...

^^ 謝謝你的分享,祝你生活永遠多彩多姿!........................................

miss said...

處順境須謹慎,處逆境要忍耐。........................................

彥良國男 said...

I do like ur article~!!!..................................................

志文志文 said...

may the blessing be always with you!! ........................................

VincenzoJ_Markle0727 said...

淫亂火辣美女本土av情色視訊聊天免費色情網站性經驗色情成人影片色情視訊聊天av圖av情色情趣娃娃成人電影院淫蕩18禁色情電話情色成人網辣妹自拍台灣av女優台灣情色春宮台灣色情成人網站0401影音g點成人vcd情色影片520sex性愛圖視訊妹調情視訊美女聊天美女性交台灣性樂園成人影像走光打砲裸女寫真美女裸照露奶激突論壇情色圖片做愛線上a片做愛視訊情色成人成人交友穿幫色情a片情色全裸入鏡台灣情色網

嘉容嘉容 said...

Unable to give you a heart. so have a reply to push up your post. ........................................

明NathanA_Schulle said...

向小善致敬,它使人生旅程較為平順。

文佩齊華 said...

you two make a lovely couple............................................................

張孟勳 said...

一個人就像一個分數,他的實際才能是分子,他對自己的評價是分母。分母越大,則分數的價值越小。..................................................

芸茂 said...

A stitch in time saves nine...................................................

LatoshaDelapena0209嘉瑜 said...

要持續更新下去喲!!祝你心情愉快.............................................................

CarolynL定治 said...

Quality is better than quantity.....................................................................

慈佐慈佐 said...

成熟,就是有能力適應生活中的模糊。.................................................................

佩怡佩怡佩怡 said...

向著星球長驅直進的人,反比踟躕在峽路上的人,更容易達到目的。............................................................

鄭湘定 said...

Subtlety is better than force. ............................................................

文郭ss華賴ss添卉顏俊s任 said...

不只BLOG內容很棒留言也很精采 XDDDD..................................................................

吳婷婷 said...

沈舟側畔千帆過,病樹前頭萬木春............................................................

楊儀卉 said...

心平氣和~祝你也快樂~~............................................................

楊儀卉 said...

朋友是一面鏡子............................................................

陳璇竹陳璇竹 said...

愛,拆開來是心和受兩個字。用心去接受對方的一切,用心去愛對方的所有。......................................................................

陳佑發 said...

Many a true word is spoken in jest..................................................................

國林維 said...

堅持是為著某種目的或目標,而持續不斷朝向既定方向努力的一種意念。..................................................

家唐銘 said...

婚姻對男人來說是賭他的自由,對女人而言卻是賭她的幸福。.................................................................

惠慧萍婷 said...

男女互悅,未必廝守終生,相愛就是美的。.................................................................

王李慧萍政勳 said...

這不過是滑一跤,並不是死掉而爬不起來了。..................................................

慧佳蓉佳蓉桓 said...

人不能像動物一樣活著,而應該追求知識和美德................. ................................................

建枫 said...

我們必須先有哭泣,才有歡笑;也必須先感到人生的悲哀,然後才感到人生的快樂。................................................................

翊翊翊翊張瑜翊翊翊 said...

你的文章給我力量!感謝您!!!..................................................................